Zunächst einige Anmerkungen, die mir helfen, das SVI-Papier zu verstehen:
kμk, τkηG
μ , τ∼ N.( μ | γ, τ( 2 α - 1 ) G a ( τ| α,β)
η0= 2 α - 1η1= γ∗ ( 2 α - 1 )η2= 2 β+ γ2( 2 α - 1 )a , b , mα , β, μ
μk, τkη˙+ ⟨ & Sgr;N.zn , k∑N.zn , kxN.∑N.zn , kx2n⟩η˙zn , kexpln( p ) )∏N.p ( xn| zn, α , β, γ) = ∏N.∏K.( p(xn| αk, βk, γk) )zn , k
Damit können wir Schritt (5) des SVI-Pseudocodes abschließen mit:
ϕn , k∝ exp( l n ( π) + E.qln( p ( xn| αk, βk, γk) )= exp( ln( π) + E.q[ ⟨& Mgr;kτk, - τ2⟩ ⋅ ⟨ x , x2⟩ - μ2τ- lnτ2) ]
Das Aktualisieren der globalen Parameter ist einfacher, da jeder Parameter einer Anzahl der Daten oder einer seiner ausreichenden Statistiken entspricht:
λ^= η˙+ N.ϕn⟨ 1 , x , x2⟩
0a , b , mα , β, μ
#!/usr/bin/env python3
# -*- coding: utf-8 -*-
"""
Created on Sun Aug 12 12:49:15 2018
@author: SeanEaster
"""
import numpy as np
from matplotlib import pylab as plt
from scipy.stats import t
from scipy.special import digamma
# These are priors for mu, alpha and beta
def calc_rho(t, delay=16,forgetting=1.):
return np.power(t + delay, -forgetting)
m_prior, alpha_prior, beta_prior = 0., 1., 1.
eta_0 = 2 * alpha_prior - 1
eta_1 = m_prior * (2 * alpha_prior - 1)
eta_2 = 2 * beta_prior + np.power(m_prior, 2.) * (2 * alpha_prior - 1)
k = 3
eta_shape = (k,3)
eta_prior = np.ones(eta_shape)
eta_prior[:,0] = eta_0
eta_prior[:,1] = eta_1
eta_prior[:,2] = eta_2
np.random.seed(123)
size = 1000
dummy_data = np.concatenate((
np.random.normal(-1., scale=.25, size=size),
np.random.normal(0., scale=.25,size=size),
np.random.normal(1., scale=.25, size=size)
))
N = len(dummy_data)
S = 1
# randomly init global params
alpha = np.random.gamma(3., scale=1./3., size=k)
m = np.random.normal(scale=1, size=k)
beta = np.random.gamma(3., scale=1./3., size=k)
eta = np.zeros(eta_shape)
eta[:,0] = 2 * alpha - 1
eta[:,1] = m * eta[:,0]
eta[:,2] = 2. * beta + np.power(m, 2.) * eta[:,0]
phi = np.random.dirichlet(np.ones(k) / k, size = dummy_data.shape[0])
nrows, ncols = 4, 5
total_plots = nrows * ncols
total_iters = np.power(2, total_plots - 1)
iter_idx = 0
x = np.linspace(dummy_data.min(), dummy_data.max(), num=200)
while iter_idx < total_iters:
if np.log2(iter_idx + 1) % 1 == 0:
alpha = 0.5 * (eta[:,0] + 1)
beta = 0.5 * (eta[:,2] - np.power(eta[:,1], 2.) / eta[:,0])
m = eta[:,1] / eta[:,0]
idx = int(np.log2(iter_idx + 1)) + 1
f = plt.subplot(nrows, ncols, idx)
s = np.zeros(x.shape)
for _ in range(k):
y = t.pdf(x, alpha[_], m[_], 2 * beta[_] / (2 * alpha[_] - 1))
s += y
plt.plot(x, y)
plt.plot(x, s)
f.axes.get_xaxis().set_visible(False)
f.axes.get_yaxis().set_visible(False)
# randomly sample data point, update parameters
interm_eta = np.zeros(eta_shape)
for _ in range(S):
datum = np.random.choice(dummy_data, 1)
# mean params for ease of calculating expectations
alpha = 0.5 * ( eta[:,0] + 1)
beta = 0.5 * (eta[:,2] - np.power(eta[:,1], 2) / eta[:,0])
m = eta[:,1] / eta[:,0]
exp_mu = m
exp_tau = alpha / beta
exp_tau_m_sq = 1. / (2 * alpha - 1) + np.power(m, 2.) * alpha / beta
exp_log_tau = digamma(alpha) - np.log(beta)
like_term = datum * (exp_mu * exp_tau) - np.power(datum, 2.) * exp_tau / 2 \
- (0.5 * exp_tau_m_sq - 0.5 * exp_log_tau)
log_phi = np.log(1. / k) + like_term
phi = np.exp(log_phi)
phi = phi / phi.sum()
interm_eta[:, 0] += phi
interm_eta[:, 1] += phi * datum
interm_eta[:, 2] += phi * np.power(datum, 2.)
interm_eta = interm_eta * N / S
interm_eta += eta_prior
rho = calc_rho(iter_idx + 1)
eta = (1 - rho) * eta + rho * interm_eta
iter_idx += 1